UFC 330

Makhachev

• Takedown volume

  3.1 takedowns per 15 minutes against a man whose takedown defense sits at 80% is the most direct route to the mat.

• Submission threat

  Thirteen of his 28 wins come by submission, and once he has hips on a taller fighter the fight tends to stay there.

• Defensive striking

  He absorbs only 1.45 strikes per minute and lands at 58% accuracy, so even the exchanges he loses on volume he can win on efficiency.

• Championship rounds

  Sixteen straight wins across 11 years in the UFC include long fights where the grappling load compounds late.

Garry

• Length

  At 190.5 cm with a 189.2 cm reach he can fight at a distance Makhachev has to cross to work.

• Striking output

  He lands 4.78 strikes per minute to Makhachev's 2.45, and a jab-heavy round is a round he wins on the cards.

• Takedown defense

  80% takedown defense plus the frame to make single legs long and awkward gives him a path to keeping it standing.

• Fifteen-minute habits

  Four of his last five wins went to decision, so he is used to grinding out full fights rather than chasing an early finish.