UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs Barcelos

Jr.

• Takedown volume

  At 6.1 takedowns per 15 minutes he chains entries relentlessly off a freestyle wrestling base.

• Submission threat

  Six of his 12 wins come by submission, and he hunts finishes the moment top position is established.

• Low output absorbed

  He soaks up only 1.24 strikes a minute, a product of grappling-first fights that rarely become firefights.

• Youth and pace

  At 21 he can push a five-round pace against a man who has logged eight years of octagon mileage.

Barcelos

• Takedown defense

  He stops 88% of takedown attempts, the single number that most directly answers Rosas Jr.'s game.

• Striking edge

  He lands 4.65 strikes a minute at 52% accuracy against Rosas Jr.'s 1.34 at 42%.

• Defensive striking

  A 61% striking defense and 0.38 knockdowns per 15 minutes make standing exchanges his territory.

• Grappling pedigree

  A jiu-jitsu base out of Top Brother means scrambles and bottom position are not automatically losses for him.